REFERENCES

<body topmargin=0 leftmargin=0 marginheight=0 marginwidth=0> <table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=0><tr> <td valign="top" colspan=2 height=90 BGCOLOR="#336666" TEXT="#080000" background="062b85a3.jpg"> <div> <FONT SIZE="5" COLOR="#EEEEEE" FACE="Arial" ><B>NETWORKS OF POSSIBLE FUTURES</B></FONT><B>    </B><B> |     </B><A HREF="index.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="NETWORKS OF POSSIBLE FUTURES"><B>home</B></A></div> <div> <A HREF="index.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="NETWORKS OF POSSIBLE FUTURES"><B>NETWORKS OF POSSIBLE FUTURES</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="megatrends_as_a_concept_map.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="NETWORKS OF PREDICTIONS"><B>NETWORKS OF PREDICTIONS</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="pivotal_predictions.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="PIVOTAL PREDICTIONS"><B>PIVOTAL PREDICTIONS</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="five_themes.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="FIVE THEMES"><B>FIVE THEMES</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="one_predictions_reach.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="ONE PREDICTIONS REACH"><B>ONE PREDICTION'S REACH</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="a_similar_scenario.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="A SIMILAR SCENARIO"><B>A SIMILAR SCENARIO</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="one_predictions_failure.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="CONSEQUENCES OF A FAILED PREDICTION"><B>CONSEQUENCES OF A FAILED PREDICTION</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="an_alternative_future.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="AN ALTERNATIVE FUTURE"><B>AN ALTERNATIVE FUTURE</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="betting_on_robustness.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="BETTING ON CONTINUITY"><B>BETTING ON CONTINUITY</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="footnotes_and_updates.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="FOOTNOTES AND UPDATES"><B>FOOTNOTES AND UPDATES</B></A><B>   |   </B><B>REFERENCES</B><B>   |   </B><A HREF="postscript_on_the_water_issu.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="POSTSCRIPT ON THE WATER ISSUE"><B>POSTSCRIPT ON THE WATER ISSUE</B></A><B>   |   </B><A HREF="id15.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Florida Futures Survey"><B>Florida Futures Survey</B></A></div> <div> </div> </td> </tr><tr> <td valign="top" width=250 BGCOLOR="#336666" TEXT="#080000" background="063fab83.jpg"> <bR> <div> <IMG SRC="07176730.gif" border=0 width="118" height="115" ALIGN="BOTTOM" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0"></div> <div> <A HREF="index.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="NETWORKS OF POSSIBLE FUTURES">NETWORKS OF POSSIBLE FUTURES</A></div> <div> <A HREF="megatrends_as_a_concept_map.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="NETWORKS OF PREDICTIONS">NETWORKS OF PREDICTIONS</A></div> <div> <A HREF="pivotal_predictions.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="PIVOTAL PREDICTIONS">PIVOTAL PREDICTIONS</A></div> <div> <A HREF="five_themes.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="FIVE THEMES">FIVE THEMES</A></div> <div> <A HREF="one_predictions_reach.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="ONE PREDICTIONS REACH">ONE PREDICTION'S REACH</A></div> <div> <A HREF="a_similar_scenario.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="A SIMILAR SCENARIO">A SIMILAR SCENARIO</A></div> <div> <A HREF="one_predictions_failure.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="CONSEQUENCES OF A FAILED PREDICTION">CONSEQUENCES OF A FAILED PREDICTION</A></div> <div> <A HREF="an_alternative_future.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="AN ALTERNATIVE FUTURE">AN ALTERNATIVE FUTURE</A></div> <div> <A HREF="betting_on_robustness.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="BETTING ON CONTINUITY">BETTING ON CONTINUITY</A></div> <div> <A HREF="footnotes_and_updates.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="FOOTNOTES AND UPDATES">FOOTNOTES AND UPDATES</A></div> <div> <B>REFERENCES</B></div> <div> <A HREF="postscript_on_the_water_issu.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="POSTSCRIPT ON THE WATER ISSUE">POSTSCRIPT ON THE WATER ISSUE</A></div> <div> <A HREF="id15.htm" TARGET="_top" TITLE="Florida Futures Survey">Florida Futures Survey</A></div> </td> <td valign="top" height=390 width="100%" BGCOLOR="#FFFFFF" TEXT="#080000" background="06107073.jpg"> <div> <B>REFERENCES</B></div> <bR> <div> Arthur, Tom. Betting on the boom. <I>Sarasota Herald Tribune</I>, January 15, 2006.</div> <bR> <div> Axelrod, Robert, editor. <I>Structure of Decisions - The Cognitive Maps of Political Elites</I>. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976</div> <bR> <div> Bearman, Peter; Moody, James; and Faris, Robert. Networks and history. <I>Complexity</I>, 2003, volume 8, issue 1, pages 61-71 (Special Issue: Networks and Complexity).</div> <bR> <div> Siegel, Jeremy J. Gray World - the Boom Generation. <I>Wall Street Journal</I>, September 20, 2006.</div> <bR> <div> Caldeira, Silvia M.G.; Lobão, Thierry C. Petit; Andrade, R.F.S.; Neme, Alexis; and Miranda, J.G.V.  The network of concepts in written texts<I>. European Physics Journal</I>, B 49, March 2006, pages 523-529. Retrieved October 1, 2006 from: <FONT SIZE="2" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Arial" >http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/physics/pdf/0508/0508066.pdf</FONT></div> <bR> <div> Campos, Miguel A. and Gaspar, Sara. The propositional analysis model : a concept-link approach to text-based knowledge organization analysis. <I>Reportes de Investigación, Instituto de Investigaciones en Matematicas Aplicadas y en Sistemas</I>, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, volumen 5, numero 46 (Junio),1995.</div> <bR> <div> Carley, Kathleen M.  Network Text analysis: the network position of concepts, <I>Text Analysis for the Social Sciences</I>, edited by Carl W. Roberts. Mahwah, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Publishers, 1997, pages 79-100.</div> <bR> <div> Cartlidge, Boomers in paradise. <I>SRQ Magazine</I>, April 2006.</div> <bR> <div>  <A NAME="colburn_david_r__and_dehaven_smith"><IMG BORDER="0" SRC="1x1.gif" HEIGHT="1" ALIGN="bottom" WIDTH="1" HSPACE="0" VSPACE="0" ></A>Colburn, David R. and deHaven-Smith, Lance.  <I>Florida's Megatrends: Critical Issues in Florida</I>. Gainesville, Florida: University Press of Florida, 2002.</div> <bR> <div> Davis, Dick.  Major trends just keep going and going. <I>Barron's</I>, December 10, 2007.  Retrieved December 15, 2007 from http://online.barrons.com/article/SB119707809673617939-search.html?KEYWORDS=Dick+Davis&COLLECTION</div> <bR> <div> Fernandez, Frank A. and Brandon, Kyle L. Retirement savings by the numbers. <I>SIA Research Reports</I>, volume VII, number 7 (June 27, 2006). Retrieved October 1, 2006 from http://www.sia.com/research/pdf/RsrchRprtVol7-7.pdf </div> <bR> <div> Frank, Kenneth A. Identifying cohesive subgroups.  <I>Social Networks</I>, 1995, volume 17, pages 27-56.</div> <bR> <div> Frey, William H. Seniors in suburbia - where seniors live.  <I>American Demographics</I>, November 1, 2001, pages 18-21.</div> <bR> <div> Geffner, Héctor. A formal framework for causal modeling and argumentation. In <I>Practical Reasoning</I>, edited by D. Gabbay, D. and H.J. Ohlbach,  #1085 in Lecture Notes in Computer Science.  Springer-Verlag, 1996.</div> <bR> <div> Gist, John and Figueiredo, Carlos. <I>In Their Dreams: What Will Boomers Inherit? </I>AARP Public Policy Institute, June 2006.</div> <bR> <div> Hacker, Jacob S.  <I>The Great Risk Shift.</I>  New York, New York: Oxford University Press, 2006)</div> <bR> <div> Hagy, James R. What's it going to be? <I>Florida Trend Magazine</I>, December 1, 1993.</div> <bR> <div> Hull, Victor. The retiree shift.  <I>Sarasota Herald Tribune</I>, June 11, 2006.</div> <bR> <div> Hunter, Anthony. Ramification analysis using causal mapping. <I>Data and Knowledge Engineering</I>, 2000, volume 32, pages 1-27.</div> <bR> <div> Johnson, Raymond L. Theme investing as applied futures research. <I>Futures</I> <I>Research Quarterly</I>, 2001, volume 17, pages 31-47.</div> <bR> <div> Johnson, Raymond L. Networks of predictions. <I>Futures</I>, 2004, 36, pages 1095-1102.</div> <bR> <div> Longino, Jr., Charles F. Long distance residential mobility and the baby boom. <I>Real Estate Issues</I>, June 22, 2000.</div> <bR> <div> Longino, Jr., Charles F. and Bradley, Don E. A first look at retirement migration trends in 2000. <I>The Gerontologist</I>, 2003, volume 43, pages 904-907.  Retrieved October 1, 2006 <FONT SIZE="2" COLOR="#000000" FACE="Arial" >http://gerontologist.gerontologyjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/43/6/904</FONT></div> <bR> <div> Miao, Yuan and Liu, Zhi-Qiang. On causal inference in fuzzy cognitive maps. <I>IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems</I>, volume 8, 2000, pages 107-119.</div> <bR> <div> Mormino, Gary R. <I>Land of Sunshine, State of Dreams: A Social History of Modern Florida</I>. Gainesville, Florida; University Press of Florida, 2005, pages 54, 55. </div> <bR> <div> Murley, James F.; Alpert, Lenore; Lindsay, Walker; Matthews, M.J.; Burton, MaryBeth; Bryk, Christina; and Kurry, Matthew. <I>Charting the Course - Where Is South Florida Headed</I>? Center for Urban and Environmental Solutions, Florida Atlantic University, Ft. Lauderdale, Florida, March 18, 2006. Retrieved October 1, 2006 from http://www.soflo.org/course/report.pdf</div> <bR> <div> Novak, J. D. & A. J. Cañas, <I>The Theory Underlying Concept Maps and How to Construct Them</I>, Technical Report IHMC Cmap Tools 2006-01, Florida Institute for Human and Machine Cognition, March 2006. Retrieved October 1, 2006 from</div> <div> http://cmap.ihmc.us/Publications/ResearchPapers/TheoryUnderlyingConceptMaps.pdf.</div> <bR> <div> Palla, Gergely; Derényi, Imre; Farkas, Illés; Vicsek, Tamás. Uncovering the overlapping community structure of complex networks in nature and society. <I>Nature</I>, volume 435, June 9, 2005,  pages 814-818.</div> <bR> <div> Passy, Charles. The latest `it” destination in southeast Florida.  <I>New York Times</I>, December 16, 2005.</div> <bR> <div> Watkins, John F. Retirees as a new growth industry? Assessing the demographic and social impact.  <I>Review of Business</I>, 1994, volume 15, pages 9-14.</div> <bR> <div> Wise, David A. <I>Analyses in the Economics of Aging</I>. Chicago, Illinois: University of Chicago Press, 2005</div> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> <bR> </td> </tr></table></body>